It’s A New… Centennial Year in Lake Oswego!

HappyHappy 2010 to each of you!  I don’t know about you, but I can feel the excitement (and dare I say relief) in the air.  It’s a new year, and things are looking good.  Lake Oswego is already celebrating its Centennial, employment figures are up, real estate tax incentives are in full force (for a few months anyway), stocks started the year with a rally, and “the trend is still up” according to Rob Lutts, chief investment officer at Cabot Money Management.

Are there naysayers and warnings of impending doom?  Yes, as always.  I, however, am “cautiously excited” at the prospect of renewed opportunity all around.  I see my clients achieving their goals and changing their lives, and I know that time does indeed march on.  For my clients, job changes happen, marriages and divorces happen, families grow & need more space, loved ones want to be closer geographically, retirement and downsizing happen, and of course, “upsizing” is also very much alive.

Couple3The beginning of the year also always brings some legislative changes, like needing a hands-free device to talk on your cellphone in the car.  The new law does, however “…exempt motorists who are on their hand-held cell phones ‘in the scope of the person’s employment if operation of the motor vehicle is necessary for the person’s job’.”  Hmmmm, I wonder if that includes Realtors?  Well, I think I’ll opt for safety anyway, but I can smell some friction (is that burning rubber?) ahead in the way of challenges to these minimum $142. tickets.

In the real estate world, there are all manner of regulatory changes, and changes to the “new” forms we’ll be using.  Make sure to talk with your SophieTuckerRealtor (or Dianne and I if you are without a Realtor) if you have any questions.  Some of the changes could affect the timeline of your transaction if you are not aware of them. For instance, if a transaction includes any seller-carried financing, and the document is prepared by escrow, there is a 3-day mandatory review period… so if the Buyer is just seeing the document for the first time at signing, there will be a 3-day delay in closing.  Also, you will notice that our ML#’s have gotten a bit longer.  As we are starting a new decade, the ML#’s now start with “10”… so they’ll be longer numbers & have lots of zero’s for awhile : )   As an aside, the count on these, and therefore the number of new January listings as of today in Lake Oswego number 24, and range in price from $90,000 to $998,500.

CarrieNationLast, but definitely not least, I want to address the excitement of the ongoing Centennial Celebration in Lake Oswego.  I’m including a link here to a pdf that has all kinds of historic Lake Oswego photos, and news stories from 1910. By that time Lake Oswego had been in existence for 60 years already.  Three previous attempts at incorporation had failed due to fears around “additional regulations and taxation” (sound familiar?). Residents in First Addition were interested in: “promoting small businesses, water quality, fire protection, debate over the sale of alcohol, as well as government autonomy. The vote in favor of the measure was 79 to 22.  Only men cast their ballots because Oregon women did not win the right to vote until 1912.” You really MUST check out this link.  Some of the headlines read: “City Government Controls Width of Tires”“Buy a Lake-Front Lot for $50.” “Oswego’s Bear Population”, “Illiterate Cows” “Pig Penmanship”, and many, many more.

Happy, Happy 2010 to you and yours, and thank you for reading the Property Blotter!

Linda

Market Activity Report for December 28, 2009 to January 3, 2010

Last week brought us 4 truly new listings, 4 pending sales, and 5 closed sales. Kudos to the brave souls who were out working and busy over the holidays. And to my client who managed to schedule his moving day for the exact date and time of our brief snow storm.

Here is the latest market activity for Lake Oswego (see below the tables for additional notes):
NEWLY LISTED (Dec. 28—Jan. 3, 2010)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type List Date
100 KERR PKWY $102,500 2 1.1 823 CONDO 12/28/2009
4 TOUCHSTONE $160,000 3 2.1 1,350 CONDO 1/2/2010
19415 SW DOGWOOD CT $529,900 5 3 3,517 DETACHD 1/1/2010
19288 SW Megly CT $579,900 5 3 3,657 DETACHD 1/1/2010

PENDING SALES (Dec. 28 – Jan. 3, 2010)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
65 Church ST $159,900 2 1.1 1,040 CONDO 250
952 A AVE $350,000 2 2 2,912 DETACHD 241
5506 ROYAL OAKS DR $399,900 4 3 2,535 DETACHD 19
8 BUCKINGHAM TER $427,900 4 2.1 3,186 DETACHD 144

SOLD (Dec. 21 – Dec. 27, 2009)

Address O/Price Sold Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
4000 CARMAN DR $129,900 $123,000 1 1 836 CONDO 103
364 NORTHSHORE RD $629,900 $355,460 2 2 2,220 DETACHD 465
106 GREENRIDGE CT $489,000 $441,000 4 3 3,127 ATTACHD 136
279 EVERGREEN RD $689,000 $615,000 3 3.1 2,136 ATTACHD 129
1980 TWIN POINTS RD $4,987,500 $4,987,500 4 5 6,600 DETACHD 0

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Open Houses for January 3, 2010

Happy New Year one and all!  It looks like it’s going to be a bit quiet this Sunday. For those of you who are hoping to attend an open house or two, there will be 5 homes held open in Lake Oswego, according to the RMLS.

Address List Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type Open
1950 BONNIEBRAE DR $200,000 2 1.1 1,056 ATTACHD 2 to 4
1547 BOCA RATAN DR $208,900 2 1.1 1,008 ATTACHD 11 to 1:30
65 GREENRIDGE CT $215,000 2 2 1,314 CONDO 11 to 1
5373 LAKEVIEW BLVD $335,000 3 1 2,176 DETACHD 2 to 4
17755 HILL WAY $339,900 4 3 1,831 DETACHD 1 to 3

Looking Back at the LO Real Estate Market of 2009

Red man statueI think the best thing I can say about the Lake Oswego real estate market of 2009 was that it wasn’t 2008. Remember a year ago? We’d seen the collapse of some of the Nation’s largest banks, the first bailout/stimulus package had been put into play, and the entire Nation was in a wait and see mode as the country transitioned to a new Presidency. It was a very difficult time. And it makes today’s market feel, well, pretty darn good.

Let’s start by looking at the Portland Metro area.

  • At this time last year the RMLS was reporting 19.2 months of inventory.  In other words, to sell all of the active listings at the pace that properties were then selling, it would take 19.2 months.  Today that same inventory is just 7.1 months.  Whew!
  • Closed sales from November of 2009 (the most recent report available at the RMLS) are 72.4% greater than they were in November of 2008.  Don’t get too excited about that one.  It’s a reflection of just how horrible sales were in November of 2008 and how great they were comparatively in 2009.  Putting better perspective on it requires doing a 11 month average of January-November for 2008 and then 2009.  When this is done the closed sales are greater in 2009 by 2.6%.  Still, an improvement.
  • November of 2009 compared to November of 2008 has pending sales up by 19.9%
  • November of 2009 compared to November of 2008 has new listings down by 7%
  • We have continued to see a decline in home values of 11.4%, year over year.

Looking at the specifics of Lake Oswego:

  • There are currently 396 single-family homes for sale and 130 condos.  Of the single-family homes, 96 are priced at over $1,000,000 and 54 are priced at $350,000 or less.
  • There are currently 49 single-family homes and 12 condos with pending sales.
  • In the last 12 months 393 single-family homes and 95 condos have sold and closed.  Of those 42 cost $1,000,000 or greater and 93 were priced at $350,000 or less.  In those high-end homes, 7 were priced over $2,000,000.
  • At the pace that $1,000,000 and greater homes are selling, based upon the performance of the last 12 months, there is still 2.2 years of high-end inventory.  And that also means that the less expensive homes ($350,000 or less) has just 7 months of inventory.
  • The average sales price is $419,300.
  • Property values saw a decline of 12.9% in the last 12 months.
  • Average days on the market (length of time between listing a home for sale and accepting an offer) is 163 days.

I just can not leave this subject entirely without doing my compulsive comparison of affordable homes in Lake Oswego versus Sellwood, a neighborhood in SE Porltand.  I like to do this because I used to live in Sellwood, so I think I have a good idea of the area, and because I remain convinced that Lake Oswego is misunderstood by buyers.  Many people assume that Lake Oswego is just too expensive for their budget.  This is, in fact, not true at all.  At this time there are currently 54 houses for sale in Lake Oswego priced at $350,000 or less, whereas in Sellwood there are currently just 27.  Lake Oswego is a good place to find an affordable home.

  • The least expensive home in Lake Oswego is a short-sale property that needs work.  It’s priced at $169,000 and has 1382 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths.  It’s on a quiet street near Waluga Junior High School.  Offers have been submitted to the lender for 3rd party approval.
  • The least expensive home in Sellwood is a short-sale property that is being sold “as is”.  It looks to me like it needs some work but is in better condition than the LO property.  It is priced at $209,000 and has 850 square feet (120 of that in the basement) with 2 bedrooms and 1 bath.  It too has received an offer and is waiting for lender 3rd party approval.
  • The most expensive home in Lake Oswego remains the 5.5 acre private island in Oswego Lake that is priced at $19,500,000.  Built in 1929, it has 13,500 square feet with 5 bedrooms and 6 1/2 baths.  There are waterfalls and a lake side pool.  To arrange a showing, buyers must provide verification of funds. Yep, LO has those kinds of houses too.

We will never be able to foresee the future.  We can only look at the present and the recent past to get an idea of what to expect ahead.  My prediction is that the tax incentives for 1st time buyers, and now for repeat buyers as well, will continue to boost sales.  I think people intending to sell who are serious will continue to price their homes at reasonable levels that will attract an offer.  I also think that people have been beat up in the last couple of years and realize that many mistakes were made.  Even if the economy improves, I predict caution from home buyers for many years.  People will shop carefully and make home choices carefully.  I will also tell you that from my perspective, having survived the housing market of 2008, and now the market of 2009, I am really looking forward to 2010.

Linda and I want to wish you a safe, healthy, and happy New Year.

Yours in real estate, Dianne

Lake Oswego Open Houses ~ Sunday, Dec. 27, 2009

Hope all of our Property Blotter readers who celebrate Christmas had a blissful and love-filled day yesterday with family and friends! For those of you who do not celebrate Christmas…. we hope you had a blissful and love-filled day HillWayyesterday with family and friends : ) For ALL of you, we wish you a memorable and satisfying holiday season.

There is just one house listed Open according to RMLS this Sunday, and it is a nice one in a mid-level price range that has recently dropped by $15,000.  (photo used by permission) Enjoy! :

Address L/Price Beds Baths Total SF Prop Type Open
17755 HILL WAY $339,900 4 3 1831 DTCHD 1-3PM

Have a great weekend!

Open Houses for Sunday, December 20th, 2009

There are just 8 open houses being promoted in the RMLS for this Sunday.  Not surprising with this being the start of the Christmas week.  All 8 are high-end new construction.  All 8 are also the “perenial opens”:  the houses that seem to be open every Sunday.  I have been in most of them.  They are gorgeous properties.  If you haven’t seen them already, they are worth the drive.

Address List Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type Open
18209 SIENA DR $1,178,950 5 3.1 3,839 DETACHD 1 to 3
18143 SIENA DR $1,197,000 5 4.1 4,152 DETACHD 1 to 3
18246 BELLA TERRA DR $1,294,000 4 3.1 4,196 DETACHD 1 to3
17464 RIDGEVIEW LN $1,298,950 4 3.1 4,407 DETACHD 1 to 3
664 OAK MEADOW DR $1,355,000 4 3.1 4,198 DETACHD 1 to 3
18110 Siena DR $1,394,000 4 3.1 4,311 DETACHD 1 to 3
657 OAK MEADOW DR. $1,395,000 4 3.1 4,371 DETACHD 1 to 3
17364 RIDGEVIEW CT $1,425,000 4 3.1 4,436 DETACHD 1 to 3

Have a great weekend!

Lake Oswego Market Activity Report ~ Dec. 7-13, 2009

There are 8 truly NEW properties in Lake Oswego this last week (I left two of them in here because they were off the market for 30 days), 6 that went to PENDING status, and 7 that SOLD. I am seeing activity across the board in all price ranges, and in all areas of Lake Oswego.

Here is the latest market activity for Lake Oswego (see below the tables for additional notes):
NEWLY LISTED (Dec. 7—Dec.13, 2009)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type List Date
32 CERVANTES CIR $148,500 2 1.1 1,092 CONDO 12/9/2009
1248 OAK ST $249,900 2 1 900 DETACHD 12/11/2009
17756 WESTVIEW DR $439,900 4 2.1 2,830 DETACHD 12/7/2009
14150 AMBERWOOD CIR $659,000 3 2.1 2,500 DETACHD 12/7/2009
5245 LANGFORD LN $719,000 3 2.1 2,957 DETACHD 12/13/2009
64 BERWICK RD $759,000 4 3.1 3,740 DETACHD 12/7/2009
17833 MARYLCREEK DR $950,000 5 4.1 6,540 DETACHD 12/10/2009
13961 KNAUS RD $2,450,000 4 4.2 6,614 DETACHD 12/8/2009

PENDING SALES (Dec. 7 – Dec. 13, 2009)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
3433 MCNARY PKWY $100,000 2 2.1 1,208 CONDO 212
5 FALSTAFF ST $385,000 4 2.1 2,433 DETACHD 141
1457 BOCA RATAN DR $399,950 3 2 1,568 DETACHD 70
4191 CHAPMAN WAY $409,000 4 2.1 2,610 DETACHD 194
106 GREENRIDGE CT $449,000 4 3 3,127 ATTACHD 136
17404 BERGIS FARM DR $1,098,000 5 4.1 5,394 DETACHD 326

SOLD (Dec. 7 – Dec. 13, 2009)

Address O/Price Close Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
31 BECKET ST $429,800 $400,000 3 2.1 2,365 DETACHD 98
16018 WALUGA DR $415,000 $405,000 4 2 2,200 DETACHD 9
5 GARIBALDI ST $574,800 $560,000 4 3.1 3,250 DETACHD 8
163 IRON MOUNTAIN BLVD $799,000 $700,000 3 1.1 1,968 DETACHD 99
19422 LORNA LN $805,000 $790,000 5 3.1 4,011 DETACHD 14
975 ENGLEWOOD DR $899,000 $800,000 4 3.1 4,085 DETACHD 532
753 LAKESHORE RD $1,385,000 $1,335,000 3 3.1 2,562 DETACHD 51

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Lake Oswego Open Houses ~ Sunday, Dec 13, 2009

We have 17 Open Houses in Lake Oswego this Sunday. Enjoy! (and drive safely)

Address L/Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type Open
59 GALEN ST $99,000 1 1 550 ATTCHD 1-3PM
15200 BOONES WAY $175,000 2 1.1 1248 DETCHD 1-3PM
1547 BOCA RATAN DR $208,900 2 1.1 1008 ATTCHD 1-3PM
4955 GALEN ST $455,000 3 2.1 1887 DETCHD 12-3PM
475 10TH ST $534,950 4 2.1 2932 DETCHD 1-3PM
34 HILLSHIRE DR $565,000 3 2.1 3822 DETCHD 1-3PM
14435 UPLANDS DR $825,000 4 3.1 4822 DETCHD 1-4PM
1920 GLENMORRIE DR $952,000 3 2.2 4284 DETCHD 1-4PM
18209 SIENA DR $1,178,950 5 3.1 3839 DETCHD 1-3PM
18143 SIENA DR $1,197,000 5 4.1 4152 DETCHD 1-3PM
18246 BELLA TERRA DR $1,294,000 4 3.1 4196 DETCHD 1-3PM
17464 RIDGEVIEW LN $1,298,950 4 3.1 4407 DETCHD 1-3PM
622 OAK MEADOW DR $1,325,000 4 3.1 4171 DETCHD 1-3PM
664 OAK MEADOW DR $1,355,000 4 3.1 4198 DETCHD 1-3PM
18110 Siena DR $1,394,000 4 3.1 4311 DETCHD 1-3PM
657 OAK MEADOW DR. $1,395,000 4 3.1 4371 DETCHD 1-3PM
17364 RIDGEVIEW CT $1,425,000 4 3.1 4436 DETCHD 1-3PM

Market Activity Report for Nov. 30th to Dec. 6th, 2009

With just 5 pending sales and 8 closed sales last week, activity seems to be settling into the slower months of winter. However, we still had 20 new listings (not refreshed, truly new). At this time of year, people typically hold off on putting their house up for sale until after the holidays. To list your home now, you have got to be pretty motivated. I am suspicious that some of these homes are in financial trouble. I also know that corporations often move employees during the holidays if they are trying to close out a corporate year that matches the calendar year. Whatever the cause, we are back to more new listings than sales activity.

Here is the latest market activity for Lake Oswego (see below the tables for additional notes):
NEWLY LISTED (Nov. 30—Dec 6, 2009)

ADDRESS
LIST PRICE
TOT. BEDS
TOT. BATHS
TOT. SQ FT
PROP TYPE
LIST DATE
Address List Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type List Date
59 GALEN ST $99,000 1 1 550 CONDO 12/2/2009
334 CERVANTES CIR $144,900 2 1 832 CONDO 12/4/2009
75 GALEN ST $159,900 2 2 995 CONDO 12/1/2009
4 TOUCHSTONE $190,000 3 2.1 1,351 CONDO 12/1/2009
287 CERVANTES $195,000 3 1.1 1,144 CONDO 12/4/2009
45 SW EAGLE CREST DR $205,000 3 2 1,348 CONDO 12/2/2009
100 LEONARD ST $264,900 2 2 1,364 CONDO 12/3/2009
16890 CORTEZ CT $324,900 4 3 2,016 DETACHD 12/4/2009
1841 CLOVERLEAF RD 349000 5 3 2,186 DETACHD 12/1/2009
837 OAK ST 380000 3 2 2,816 ATTACHD 11/30/2009
15 CHURCHILL DOWNS 380000 4 2 2,014 ATTACHD 11/30/2009
17942 SAINT CLAIR DR 524900 4 2.1 2,533 DETACHD 12/1/2009
1250 PINE ST 539000 4 2.1 2,856 DETACHD 12/3/2009
339 6TH ST 599900 3 3.1 2,258 ATTACHD 12/1/2009
18081 WESTMINSTER DR 599950 4 2.1 2,713 DETACHD 12/1/2009
15393 DIAMOND HEAD RD 756400 4 2.1 3,192 DETACHD 12/2/2009
1010 HOODVIEW LN 875000 4 3 3,058 DETACHD 11/30/2009
17802 SW Marylcreek DR 887900 3 4 3,825 DETACHD 12/6/2009
18175 PILKINGTON RD 899900 4 3.1 3,164 DETACHD 12/1/2009
444 6TH ST 1095000 4 4.1 4,541 DETACHD 12/1/2009

PENDING SALES (Nov. 30 -Dec 6, 2009)

ADDRESS
LIST PRICE
TOT. BEDS
TOT. BATHS
TOT. SQ FT
PROP TYPE
DOM
Address List Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type CDOM
668 MCVEY AVE $143,550 3 1.1 992 CONDO 59
5077 W SUNSET DR $299,900 2 2.1 1,720 ATTACHD 102
4051 VIRGINIA WAY $339,900 3 2.1 1,658 DETACHD 58
2753 VALE CT $402,000 3 3 2,786 DETACHD 31
1575 IVY CT $515,000 4 3 2,432 DETACHD 56

SOLD (Nov. 30-Dec 6, 2009)

ADDRESS ORIG. PRICE SALE PRICE
TOT. BEDS
TOT. BATHS
TOT. SQ FT
PROP TYPE
DOM
Address O/Price Close Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type CDOM
4 TOUCHSTONE CT $137,900 $105,000 3 2.1 1,350 CONDO 371
14 POLONIUS ST $300,000 $288,000 4 3 2,754 DETACHD 254
5096 SW TREE ST $334,900 $318,000 3 1.1 1,410 DETACHD 462
1990 WEMBLEY PARK RD $399,900 $390,000 4 3 3,162 DETACHD 27
2981 VALE CT $512,450 $475,500 5 2.1 3,516 DETACHD 436
5382 ROYAL OAKS DR $555,000 $492,500 4 2.1 2,970 DETACHD 194
135 FURNACE ST $709,900 $647,000 2 2.1 1,927 CONDO 97
827 8TH ST $898,000 $835,000 5 3.1 3,852 DETACHD 38

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Open Houses for Sunday, December 6, 2009

There are 15 homes being promoted in the RMLS as Open Houses this Sunday.  I will be holding open my condominium listing in Mt. Park:  4447 Golden Lane.  I’ll be there from 1 to 4.  I’d love to have you stop by.

Address List Price # BR # BTHS Total SF Prop Type Open
1950 BONNIEBRAE DR $200,000 2 1.1 1,056 ATTACHD 1 to 3
4447 GOLDEN LN $229,000 2 2.1 1,980 ATTACHD 1 to 4
13821 REGENCY CT $409,000 4 2.1 2,139 DETACHD 1 to 3
106 GREENRIDGE CT $449,000 4 3 3,127 ATTACHD 1 to 4
34 HILLSHIRE DR $565,000 3 2.1 3,822 DETACHD 1 to 3
18209 SIENA DR $1,178,950 5 3.1 3,839 DETACHD 1 to 4
18143 SIENA DR $1,197,000 5 4.1 4,152 DETACHD 1 to 4
18246 BELLA TERRA DR $1,294,000 4 3.1 4,196 DETACHD 1 to 4
17464 RIDGEVIEW LN 1298950 4 3.1 4,407 DETACHD 1 to 3
622 OAK MEADOW DR 1325000 4 3.1 4,171 DETACHD 1 to 3
664 OAK MEADOW DR 1355000 4 3.1 4,198 DETACHD 1 to 3
657 OAK MEADOW DR. 1395000 4 3.1 4,371 DETACHD 1 to 4
17364 RIDGEVIEW CT 1425000 4 3.1 4,436 DETACHD 1 to 3
15825 OSWEGO SHORE CT 1985850 4 3.1 4,317 DETACHD 2 to 4
2572 GLEN EAGLES PL 2395000 5 4.2 6,490 DETACHD 2 to 4