Our Growing Population

If you have lived in the Portland metro area for the last 5 years or so you have seen first hand how much our population is growing. I know I have mentioned in previous blog posts the United Van Lines survey that comes out each year showing where in the United States people are moving to and from. Oregon for 2 years in a row has now been the #1 in-migration state in the country. So what you sense as you drive around is very, very real. I think about this a lot because it has a big impact on my job, and so I pay attention to others with thoughtful observations on the topic. This past week I had the pleasure of discovering an article in Portland Monthly on this very subject. Written by Randy Gragg, it layed out some really good observations and thoughts.

The first factor that is supporting our growth is our strong economy. With large employers like Nike, Intel, Adidas, and Columbia Sportswear, good jobs are available. Randy Gragg believes that this is going to continue and even expand. He attributes it to a new tech boom that is spurred on by the growing connectivity of our personal devices to the Internet. Think Fitbits, phones, even refrigerators and our cars, this is the economy of the “Internet of Things”.

Then there is the reality that 14,000 new apartments have been built since 2012, and 60 buildings at least 100′ tall are in the planning process, 15 of them are over 200′. I remember learning that the zoning for high rise buildings like exist in downtown Portland goes all the way South to about the Sellwood bridge. We are going to see more and more of the small, obsolete buildings in Portland being torn down and replaced with tall office, apartment, and condominium buildings.

The third factor is that we actually have the land to allow this development to take place. This land exists now within our urban growth boundary. Both San Francisco and Seattle are geopgraphically contained by water and therefore the opportunity for growth is limited. Not so in Portland. Portland is 3 times the size of San Francisce and 2 times the size of Seattle. Here’s a fun fact: SE 82nd Ave is the geographic center of Portland. This means that all of the land in the out East side is ripe for eventual development. The population of Portland is expected to exceed that of Seattle (the city, not the entire metro area) by 2025.

The fourth factor is climate change. The drought in the Southwest is a very significant factor right now. Suddenly all of our rain looks pretty attractive when the alternative is water rationing and the hardships of living in a drastically dry environment.

So what to do? Randy Gragg shares these ideas:

1) The metro area needs to concentrate on building affordable family housing. This means that instead of tearing down one old house and building one huge new house, we need to tear down one old house and build a tri or fourplex. This needs to be encouraged by offering incentives to builders and also by loosing up zoning restrictions.
2) The traffic is hear to stay, don’t fret about it. Randy used a pretty funny phrase. He says that if you complain about traffic it makes you a GBB, a Grumpy Baby Boomer. He points out that younger people increasingly don’t rely on cars but instead use car sharing, uber, bikes, and mass transit. I can attest to this. I see it in my younger clients. Think Copenhagen, Madrid, and the great cities of Europe. They are already doing this.
3) Let growth be our friend and realize that with growth will come opportunities. Development fees can encourage community improvements.
4) Do value historic preservation but let it be focused on buildings that have genuine value. Old does not necessarily mean valuable.
5) Encourage good urban design with emphasis put onto vibrant streets and public plazas. People need places to enjoy the community that they get out into. A great example of this is Millenium Plaza Park right here in LO.
6) Recognize that a lot of the growth that is going to happen is going to be on Portland’s East side. It is no longer the boonies, it is prime.

I realize that you are probably thinking “So, what does this have to do with Lake Oswego?”. It has a lot to do with Lake Oswego. All of this growth is going to press in upon our community. We too are growing and are going to continue to grow. I don’t see high rise buildings happening here, but I do see much larger buildings than have been built in the past. Look at the mixed use building currently under construction on the Wizer block. It is taller than any other building in our town. We are going to see more of this, not less. I will predict in this post that I do believe the Foothills Development will happen within the next 20 years. It is too well located near downtown LO and has easy access to what will likely become a commuting line into Portland on the current Trolly route. We are going to see lots of changes as we grow. I am not going to complain about it. I am instead going to pay attention to it and give imput when possible.

I’d love to know your thoughts,
Dianne

A Little Mortgage Insight?

…Let’s see… How about a few words from one of my favorite resources?

9/27/16:

We dodged another bullet this past week when the Federal Reserve Board kept the Federal Funds Rate (the Overnight Lending Rate) the same, despite three months of chatter in financial markets that the Board had waited too long to raise rates and would do it this month.   There were, however, unusually hawkish statements at the Fed Open Market Committee meeting, made by several members of the Board, to the effect that the rate should go up at the December meeting, and that there should be several rate increases in 2017.  The economy is clearly recovering, albeit slowly, and the Fed always wants to curb future inflation by raising the Overnight Rate to restrain borrowing.

Mortgage rates, still at historical lows, have always been immediately affected upward when the Federal Funds Rate has been raised.  If you intend to buy or refinance, be advised that you could be looking at higher rates very soon.

PETE CHRISTELMAN

Mortgage Originator
NMLS –  93499

Tel:         (503) 282 9000

Mobile:   (503) 381 7222

Email:     pchristelman@financeofamerica.com

_____________________________________________________________

MACADAM  I  4380 SW MACADAM AVE  I SUITE 560  I  PORTLAND, OR 97239

FinanceofAmerica.com/Macadam

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© 2015  Finance of America LLC I  I  Equal Housing Lender  cid:image003.png@01D16E57.477735A0 I  NMLS 1071

Mortgage Banker License #0910184 I  Licensed by the Department of Business Oversight under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act  I Georgia Residential Mortgage Licensee  I  Illinois Residential Mortgage Mortgage Licensee  I  Kansas Licensed Mortgage Company  I  Licensed by the Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance I  Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department  I  Licensed by the N.J. Department of Banking and Insurance  I  Licensed Mortgage Banker–NYS Banking Department I  Rhode Island Licensed Lender

 

Market Activity for September 19 – 25th, 2016

Hey everybody, hope that the ease into fall has been good. I certainly noticed as soon as there were leaves everywhere! But with the change in temperature comes cold season. So make sure to keep your homes nice and warm, and stock up on good tea!

18 New listings, 25 pending, 14 sold homes!

Following is the breakdown for you according to RMLS:

New on the Market (Sept 19-25, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedrooms Bathrooms Sqft
100 KERR PKWY #13 CONDO 117,000 1 1 617
155 OSWEGO SMT CONDO 259,000 2 2 1506
5720 KENNY ST DETACHED 389,900 2 2 1416
4191 SOUTHSHORE BLVD DETACHED 455,000 3 2 1012
14798 DAVIS LN ATTACHED 479,900 2 2.5 1698
19242 TERRY AVE DETACHED 493,900 4 2 1872
1775 FERNWOOD DR DETACHED 589,000 6 3 2640
17872 PILKMINGTON RD DETACHED 595,000 3 2 1610
13105 ROGERS RD DETACHED 679,900 4 3 2655
44 NOVA CT DETACHED 749,900 4 2.5 2868
264 D AVE ATTACHED 799,900 3 2.5 2011
27 BERWICK RD DETACHED 829,000 5 3 2968
13372 FIELDING RD DETACHED 1,000,000 4 4.5 3556
671 5th ST DETACHED 1,178,000 4 2.5 2781
915 CEDAR ST DETACHED 1,200,000 4 3.5 3219
17 BERGIS FARM DR DETACHED 1,289,900 4 2.5 4396
401 9th ST DETACHED 1,390,000 4 3.5 4288
12812 GOODALL RD LOT10 DETACHED 1,995,000 5 4.5 4808

Pending Sales (Sept 19-25, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedroom Bathrooms DOM
86 KINGSGATE RD CONDO 154,900 2 2 8
4 TOUCHSTONE CONDO 185,000 3 2.5 10
74 GALEN ST CONDO 199,900 2 2 35
4325 SILVER CT CONDO 340,000 3 2.5 67
4214 WOODSIDE CIR ATTACHED 359,000 3 2.5 32
18851 PILKINGTON RD DETACHED 399,000 3 2 54
5500 MCEWAN RD DETACHED 400,000 3 2 131
4720 LOWER DR DETACHED 415,000 4 2 3
17623 SCHALIT WAY DETACHED 435,000 3 2 6
14863 TWIN FIR CT DETACHED 539,500 3 2 14
17911 LAKE HAVEN DR DETACHED 548,000 4 2.5 58
652 8TH ST DETACHED 549,900 2 1 4
3845 TEMPEST DR DETACHED 549,900 4 2.5 71
2825 VALE CT DETACHED 575,000 4 3 4
6051 SUMMER WOODS DETACHED 610,000 4 2.5 3
712 LAKE FOREST DR DETACHED 690,000 3 2 6
3195 EDGEMONT RD DETACHED 699,000 3 2 91
5681 YORKSHIRE CT DETACHED 699,900 4 2.5 97
2981 VALE CT DETACHED 699,900 5 2.5 69
5037 PARKHILL ST DETACHED 729,000 4 2.5 25
18462 PIONEER CT DETACHED 819,000 5 3 42
4176 UPPER DR DETACHED 839,000 4 3 32
17867 SUNDOWN CT DETACHED 850,000 3 3.5 35
5314 CHILDS RD DETACHED 859,900 4 2.5 109
650 1ST ST CONDO 899,000 3 2.5 23

Sold/Closed (Sept 19-25, 2016)

Address Type List Price Close Price Sqft DOM
4000 CARMAN DR CONDO 199,900 193,000 834 34
219 CERVANTES CONDO 220,000 215,000 1100 44
71 OSWEGO SUMMIT CONDO 217,500 216,000 1140 2
193 OSWEGO SMT CONDO 235,000 243,000 1383 6
18440 SW DONLEE WAY DETACHED 385,000 385,000 1223 2
1223 HEMLOCK ST DETACHED 422,000 415,000 748 118
5850 BONITA RD DETACHED 527,500 458,000 1272 132
17200 CANAL CIR DETACHED 585,000 585,000 1774 90
17323 LAKE HAVEN DR DETACHED 699,900 699,900 1864 4
1015 SHER LN DETACHED 899,999 850,000 3511 37
17259 LOWENBERG TER DETACHED 895,000 895,000 2955 5
527 10th ST DETACHED 1,150,000 1,125,000 2677 62
3118 DOUGLAS CIR DETACHED 1,339,000 1,280,000 3570 56
780 NORTHSHORE RD DETACHED 2,222,000 2,170,000 2201 10

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Counter Tops 101

A recent transaction I had got me to thinking about counter tops. This was a really beautiful, high-end home. The kitchen had been recently remodeled and the information given by the seller was that the counters were granite. In the home inspection the home inspector stated that they were acrylic. Who was right? The seller was absolutely certain that they were granite in part because they had cost him about $10,000 for the material alone. I went to Contract Furnishings Mart where a wonderful man, Patrick VonPegert, was of great help to me. I am going to try to do justice to what I learned, but I also want to encourage you to do your own homework as I am not an expert.

thPatrick told me that while granite is the style that is currently the most popular, quartz is actually more commonly purchased. This is because quartz has similar properties to granite and at the lower end of the product cost it is similar in price. But quartz tops out at its maximum expense much lower than does granite. So it tends to be more affordable as a generalization.

I explained to him my delimna with the question of the counter in the home I was selling and I showed him a photo. He felt, looking at the photo, that the counter was likely granite but he then showed me an acrylic sample in his showroom that was virtually identical. I asked about the cost as evidence and I learned that acrylic counters are also expensive and the $10,000 price tag would not be evidence of the material in question. He then taught me two simple tests. The first was the temperature of the surface. Putting my hand on a granite sample and then putting my hand on an acrylic sample there was a huge difference in temprature. The natural stone is significantly colder and the acrylic was more easily compared to room temperature. The other test was dropping a quarter on the surface. The stone had a higher pitched “ting” whereas the acrylic was more of a lower pitched thud. With this new knowledge in hand I met my client at the house and put our hands to the counter (very cold) and dropped a quarter (ting). My clients response was that she loved the kitchen and the look of the counters so she was fine with them in any case.

Here is some more information and my thoughts of various counter materials. I obtained this information from the Popular Mechanics website. Pricing is suggested and subject to change.

th-1Granite
Granite is gorgeous. Materials cut straight from the earth is solid panels, then custom cut to become a seemless counter surface, they are, in a word, stunning. They come in many colors of solids, varigated, and lined. I have seem some surfaces that literally pull you in and leave you transfixed. There is a reason that they are the premium material. Having said this, they do have a down side. They must be properly sealed to prevent staining and then the seal must be re-done as needed. They need to be cleaned with stone cleaner and not with normal household cleaners. I suspect that there are lots of folks who have granite counters who don’t have a clue about the proper maintenance. They are also expensive with the cost being $75-$250 a square foot. I also have to point out two additional concerns that I have. Natural stone is a finite resource. I so hope that granite counters installed today will be still in use 100 years from now. Please, please, don’t fall pray to changing styles. I so hope that they don’t end up in landfills 20 years from now. Last, granite gives off radon. You know, that nasty stuff we test for in home inspections to prevent lung cancer. I did make an effort to find out if the amount of granite in a typical kitchen counter is a concern by asking an environmental specialist. This was years ago. He told me that the granite in the counter would have to be 10 feet thick to give off the amount of radon that hurts people. But I still think if I had a lot of granite in my home I would test for radon (well, I’d do it even if I didn’t have any granite).

Soapstone and Slate
These materials have much of the same look as granite because they too are natural stone. They have fewer color options. Soapstone is porous and must be sealed with mineral oil. Slate is non-porous and is much easier to care for. It won’t stain easily and scratches can be buffed out. Cost runs $100-$150 per square foot.

Acrylic and Polyester
These counters resist stains and scratches and are both renewable and repairable. Scratches and burns can be sanded out. Gouges can be filled. The color choices are basically limitless as are textures and edges. Cost runs $100-$200 per square foot.

th-2Engineered Stone and Quartz Composits
These counters are 90% quartz, glass, or any other materials chosen to be blended, and 10% acrylic. The color options are pretty limitless. Maintenance is reasonable. Cost runs $150-$200 per square foot. I particularly like the counters made with recycled glass. I tend to be pretty environmentally aware and the idea of materials that are both recylcled and beautiful really appeals to me.

Plastic Laminate, otherwise known as Formica
There is a reason that this stuff has been used in homes for so long. It’s super affordable and wears well with little or no maintenace beyond cleaning. It comes in hundreds of colors and options. Cost is $3-$25 per square foot.

Tile
The trend has moved away from tile, which was the counter top king in the 1990’s. This is mostly due to the issue of maintaining seems and grout, which must be cleaned and sealed regualarly. Having said this, tile is still a popular option for back splashes and smaller surface areas like breakfast bars and pantry counters. Be sure you use a tile that is rated for counters. Wall tile is typically more thin and would more easily crack. I do see a lot of tile in new construction that is under $500,000. This is particularly true in homes that have more modern design elements. Tile stylistically fits in with modern lines. As I mentioned, if you go the route of tile, be sure to properly clean and seal the grout regularly. Cost runs $3-$100 per square foot.

Wood
Wood counters are pretty unusaul. It’s more common to see wood sections in counters on areas like cooking islands or next to the stove for food prep. Wood has had a bad reputation as not being sanitary. This was debunked in 1993 by a University of Wisconsin study that showed that bacteria on wood surfaces like cutting boards will be 99% dead within 3 minutes of exposure to the wood. My bigger concern is how well it will wear. It’s a softer surface that will burn, scratch, and suffer water damage pretty easily. To properly care for it, it should be oiled every 4-6 weeks. And it’s not cheap, running $100-$200 a square foot for a well made counter.

Concrete
This is a material that I am seeing more and more of. Going back to the popularity of modern design, concrete fits right in with that trend. It can be done in a variety of colors and does have a look of stone but with more clean lines. A properly made counter will be pre-cast and fully cured and finished off sight. It should be re-inforced with wire mesh or rebar to minimize cracking. I had a home inspector tell me once that all concrete counters crack. I don’t know if this is true or not, but I think if you are considering concrete you need to decide if this will put you off or not. I have seen cracks in concrete counters. I don’t think that they usually destroy the functional use of the counter, although cracks do invite dirt. To my eye the cracks can become part of the design element. But don’t go with concrete if this may drive you nuts. Cost run $85-$100 per square foot.

There you have it, counters 101. I hope you found it helpful. My thanks to Patrick at Contract Furnishings Mart and to Popular Mechanics.
Dianne

Market Activity Report Aug 29th – Sept 04th, 2016

Hello everybody, I hope the start of the school year went smooth for everybody. And if you are like me, and don’t have to deal with school, then I hope that the end of summer has gone good none-the-less. There are 23 new houses on the market, 21 pending properties, and 17 sold homes.

I couldn’t help but notice that a lot of condos have gone for sale on 1st ST! It makes me curious to check out the area!

Following is the breakdown for you according to RMLS:

New on the Market (Aug 29- Sept 04, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedrooms Bathrooms Sqft
354 CERVANTES CIR 1-C CONDO 158,000 2 1.5 912
18644 SW KRISTI WAY DETACHED 349,950 2 2 1346
6 SUMMIT RIDGE CT ATTACHED 399,000 2 2.5 1750
9 ORIOLE LN DETACHED 399,830 3 3 1928
261 ASH ST DETACHED 499,900 3 2 1788
652 1ST ST CONDO 659,000 2 2.5 1986
672 1st ST CONDO 659,000 2 2.5 1986
17533 ERIN CT DETACHED 669,000 3 2.5 2943
654 1st ST CONDO 689,000 2 2.5 2140
3195 EDGEMONT RD DETACHED 699,000 3 2 1858
674 1st ST CONDO 699,000 2 2.5 2140
5037 PARKHILL ST DETACHED 729,000 4 2.5 3157
670 1st ST CONDO 899,000 3 2.5 2767
650 1st ST CONDO 899,000 3 2.5 2767
2639 PALISADES CREST DR DETACHED 948,000 5 3 5615
13079 AMBER PL DETACHED 948,000 5 3 3200
15501 DIAMOND HEAD RD DETACHED 995,000 4 3 2353
14530 UPLANDS DR DETACHED 1,230,000 4 3.5 4080
18296 MEADOWLARK LN DETACHED 1,715,000 5 3.5 5769
1976 HIGHLANDS LOOP DETACHED 1,795,000 4 3.5 4597
129 FURNACE ST CONDO 1,849,900 4 4.5 4911
1940 HIGHLANDS LOOP DETACHED 1,898,000 5 5.5 4080
16 DOVER WAY DETACHED 1,998,000 5 5.5 7475

Pending Sales (Aug 29- Sept 04, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedroom Bathrooms DOM
11 CRESTFIELD CT CONDO 129,500 1 1 3
44 EAGLE CREST DR CONDO 134,900 1 1 51
4628 LOWER DR CONDO 149,999 2 1.5 3
4000 CARMAN DR CONDO 169,900 1 1 5
71 OSWEGO SUMMIT CONDO 217,500 2 2 2
18 KINGSGATE RD DETACHED 399,900 3 2 4
14392 SHERBROOK PL DETACHED 446,000 3 2.5 4
19080 INDIAN SPRINGS CIR DETACHED 450,000 3 2 4
3351 FIR RIDGE RD DETACHED 469,000 3 2 2
3200 UPPER DETACHED 499,999 4 3 2
4960 CENTERWOOD ST DETACHED 509,000 3 2 77
4050 VIRGINIA WAY DETACHED 524,500 3 2 1
18 GROUSE TER DETACHED 549,900 4 2 82
9 SPINOSA DETACHED 595,000 2 2.5 11
32 WILBUR ST CONDO 635,000 2 2.5 5
4079 COLTSFOOT LN DETACHED 699,900 4 4 397
18183 WESTMINSTER DR DETACHED 720,000 3 2.5 57
2931 ORCHARD HILL PL DETACHED 739,100 4 2.5 100
5435 WESTFIELD DETACHED 749,900 4 3 32
4328 LORDS LN DETACHED 749,995 3 3 3
2484 MARYLSHIRE LN DETACHED 799,000 4 3.5 64

Sold/Closed(Aug 29- Sept 04, 2016)

Address Type List Price Close Price Sqft DOM
4 TOUCHSTONE DR CONDO 136,000 132,000 1351 26
3974 CARMAN DR CONDO 229,900 229,900 1107 31
16250 PACIFIC HWY #76 CONDO 299,900 295,000 1767 9
4455 GOLDEN LN CONDO 309,000 295,000 1705 71
12842 BOONES FERRY RD CONDO 345,000 321,500 1136 98
300 LAKE BAY CT DETACHED 475,000 452,000 1480 88
16041 WALUGA DR DETACHED 454,900 452,000 1982 8
18927 INDIAN CREEK AVE DETACHED 500,000 465,000 2394 27
532 2ND ST CONDO 469,900 465,000 1395 14
1419 HEMLOCK ST DETACHED 500,000 500,000 2520 28
3100 WEMBLEY PARK RD DETACHED 625,000 625,000 3060 339
13040 PRINCETON CT DETACHED 674,900 650,000 3135 32
4090 BUCK BRUSH LN DETACHED 699,000 705,000 3128 5
621 COUNTRY CLUB RD DETACHED 825,000 805,000 3385 160
884 CEDAR ST DETACHED 995,000 995,000 3120 102
356 9th ST DETACHED 1,480,000 1,230,000 3647 101
12850 FIELDING DETACHED 2,500,000 3,240,844 19444 25

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Appraisal Crisis in Full Blown

photoWe have a crisis happening in the real estate market right now. No, you probably haven’t heard about it in the news, but you certainly may experience it if you are buying or selling a home in the Portland Metro area right now.

Here’s the back story. As robust as the market currently is, it was only a few years ago that we were in a mega recession. The mortgage lending industry tanked and the Federal government did a big over haul of the industry to prevent a similar catastrophe from happening again. In the fix was an effort to separate appraisers from lenders. There was a perception, and in many cases it was completely valid with both mortgage brokers and appraisers serving jail time, that a mortgage broker and an appraiser could falsify values in order to profit. To prevent this from happening appraisers were taken out of the lenders employment and control. All appraisals are now sent to Appraisal Management Companies (AMC). These are 3rd party companies who offer the appraisal request to their group of appraisers. So the lender does not know or have any communication with who will be doing the appraisal. It goes even further. A mortgage loan officer can not communicate with the appraiser at all.

Further challenging getting an appraisal done is the fact that the requirements to become an appraiser have gotten more stringent. Foremost among this is the requirement that an appraiser work as an apprentice under an experienced appraiser for 1-2 years before they are able to obtain full licensing and the ability to work independently. This is a burden for appraisers who are already swamped by their volume of work. It is hard for aspiring appraisers to find a mentor to apprentice with.

During the recession when the housing market slowed to a crawl many appraisers simply left the industry because it was hard to make a decent living.

Fast forward to today. We are in a housing boom. Portland is one of the hottest real estate markets in the entire country. The volume of houses being sold is tremendous, as is the market to refinance existing mortgages to lower interest rates. All of this means that just as the market has heated up, the appraisers needed to meet the demand simply do not exist.

I have been a realtor for almost 30 years. In all but the last year the normal turn around time for an appraisal has been 2-3 weeks. This allowed for an expected escrow period of 30-45 days. This issue with the shortage of appraisers is making the turn around time much, much longer. I think right now it is averaging 3-4 weeks. This in turn is making the escrow period 45-60 days.

This is taking away a major leveraging point for buyers competing to buy homes in this hot market. No longer can a buyer confidently say that they can do a quick close, which most sellers love. The buyer simply does not have the ability to promise a quick close. If a buyer is representing that they can, working as a seller’s agent I would be a bit dubious. I certainly would not discourage the buyer’s effort to do so. But I would counsel my seller client to be prepared mentally for the possibility of the closing being delayed by the appraisal.

A 45-60 day escrow period is actually a best case scenario. There are many, many transactions that are experiencing delays well beyond this. If the property is unusual the appraisal request may languish at an AMC with no appraiser choosing to do it. I have had a transaction where this was the case. The property was in an unusual location that was a mix of residential and commercial use. When an appraiser finally offered to take the assignment we were told it would take 2 months to complete and cost $2200!

I see a couple of things that need to be addressed. First, the shortage of appraisers will, I hope, be attractive to people who want good employment. It would be a great field to go into right now. Second, I predict that the cost of an appraisal will be going up. The old law of supply and demand should kick in. Bear in mind that the cost of an appraisal has been about $500 for decades. An increase in the cost seems likely. I just hope it is only by a few hundred dollars.

This entire issue will all settle out eventually. You can still buy or sell a house, just be aware that this issue is occurring and don’t stress about it.

I want to wish you a safe and fun holiday weekend,
Dianne

Market Activity ~ Aug 15-21, 2016

Last week we saw 19 New properties enter the market, 24 move to Pending status, and 16 “Closed”/Sold.

Following is the breakdown for you according to RMLS:

NEW on Mkt (Aug 15-21, 2016)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type
38 GREENRIDGE CT $365,000 3 2.1 1996 ATTACHD
4214 WOODSIDE CIR $369,000 3 2.1 1841 ATTACHD
35 BLOCH TER $400,000 3 2.1 1987 ATTACHD
4291 COLLINS WAY $405,000 3 2 1482 DETACHD
4752 REMBRANDT LN $439,900 3 2.1 1655 DETACHD
937 COUNTRY CLUB RD $524,900 3 1 1715 DETACHD
2565 BREE CT $639,900 3 2.1 2967 DETACHD
17225 GREENTREE AVE $695,000 4 3 2718 DETACHD
17465 UPPER CHERRY LN $695,000 4 3 3856 DETACHD
4164 MELISSA DR $759,000 4 2.1 2650 DETACHD
17700 LEAFY LN $779,500 4 2.1 3666 DETACHD
14867 TWIN FIR CT $799,000 5 3.1 3641 DETACHD
18171 BRYANT RD $799,000 3 0.2 2984 DETACHD
17867 SUNDOWN CT $849,900 3 3.1 2765 DETACHD
4176 UPPER DR $869,000 4 3 2938 DETACHD
515 10TH ST $1,200,000 3 2.1 2821 DETACHD
462 9TH ST $1,390,000 5 3.1 4377 DETACHD
333 NORTHSHORE RD $3,597,500 4 4.1 5150 DETACHD
919 WESTPOINT RD $4,600,000 4 4 4795 DETACHD

PENDING SALES (Aug 15-21, 2016)

Address List Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
4000 CARMAN DR #A10 $169,900 2 2 836 CONDO 5
169 OSWEGO SMT #169 $199,999 2 2 1383 CONDO 123
217 CERVANTES / Lower $219,000 2 1.1 1204 CONDO 9
219 CERVANTES $220,000 2 2 1100 CONDO 44
54 GALEN ST / Upper $229,900 2 2 995 CONDO 32
15460 BRIANNE CT $320,000 2 2.1 1250 ATTACHD 3
5228 BONITA RD $349,900 4 2.1 2200 DETACHD 3
5432 KENNY ST $379,900 3 1 1352 DETACHD 20
668 MCVEY AVE #52 $450,000 3 1.1 992 CONDO 116
2395 GREENTREE RD $539,000 4 2.1 2832 DETACHD 17
350 6TH ST $539,900 4 2 2304 DETACHD 36
1920 PARK FOREST AVE $575,000 3 3 2679 DETACHD 7
2600 PARK RD $624,900 3 3 2240 DETACHD 5
29 HILLSHIRE DR $799,000 3 2.1 4638 DETACHD 0
2329 STONEHURST CT $825,000 4 3 3622 DETACHD 23
1172 TROON RD $827,500 5 3.1 2504 DETACHD 103
17432 KELOK RD $1,025,000 3 2.1 2884 DETACHD 33
527 10TH ST $1,150,000 4 3.1 2677 DETACHD 62
721 7TH ST $1,249,000 4 3.1 4544 DETACHD 42
629 5TH ST $1,299,000 4 2.1 2985 DETACHD 53
13012 KNAUS RD $1,825,000 4 3.2 4796 DETACHD 49
12740 FIELDING RD $2,100,000 4 2.1 3453 DETACHD 111
12850 FIELDING RD $2,500,000 9 9.2 19444 DETACHD 25
1193 FAIRWAY RD $2,998,000 5 4.2 7028 DETACHD 987

SOLD (Aug 15-21, 2016)

Address Opening Price Closed Price # Beds # Baths Total SF Prop Type CDOM
1774 RIDGECREST DR $125,000 $1,240,000 2 2 2053 DETACHD 6
79 OSWEGO Summit #79 $199,900 $200,000 2 2 1212 CONDO 3
1652 BONNIEBRAE DR $279,900 $257,000 3 1.1 1303 ATTACHD 11
5495 TREE ST $355,000 $355,000 3 1.1 1388 DETACHD 3
4841 SW DAWN ST $425,000 $435,000 3 2 1550 DETACHD 6
438 ASH ST $439,900 $450,000 4 3 2372 DETACHD 3
2132 GOODALL CT $566,500 $580,000 4 3 2577 DETACHD 4
5028 GREENSBOROUGH CT $569,900 $485,000 4 2.1 2358 DETACHD 43
6 WALKING WOODS DR $575,000 $550,000 4 2.1 2870 DETACHD 54
12140 ORCHARD HILL WAY $644,000 $645,000 4 2.1 3169 DETACHD 8
2 WALKING WOODS DR $649,900 $629,950 4 3 4116 DETACHD 76
3718 RIVERS EDGE DR $739,000 $739,000 4 2.1 2512 DETACHD 9
603 ATWATER RD $768,000 $750,000 5 3.1 3430 DETACHD 10
13596 STREAMSIDE DR $788,000 $740,000 4 2.1 3430 DETACHD 55
1175 CHERRY CIR $1,488,500 $1,275,000 6 4.1 6300 DETACHD 367
3130 DOUGLAS CIR $1,499,999 $1,499,999 4 3.1 3970 DETACHD 4

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Market Activity Report August 8th – 14th, 2016

We’ve had a busy week!
24 new listings, 17 pending, and 21 sold!

Looks like the market has been pretty consistent. However, with school starting we may start to see a dip in activity. I knew a few of my friends are looking to buy homes in Lake Oswego, and may be encouraged to really start looking if they feel like there isn’t as much competition. Having been working with buyers as of late, I completely understand the thought process here.

Following is the breakdown for you according to RMLS:

New on the Market (August 8th-14th, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedrooms Bathrooms Sqft
4919 LAKEVIEW BLVD CONDO 129,000 1 1 753
221 CERVANTES CONDO 265,000 2 2.5 1240
15460 BRIANNE CT ATTATCH 320,000 2 2.5 1250
18540 KRISTI WAY DETACHED 329,950 3 1.5 1246
14372 SHERBROOK PL DETACHED 335,000 2 1.5 1216
43 ORIOLE LN DETACHED 385,000 2 2 1810
9 ORIOLE LN DETACHED 419,000 3 3 1928
13142 PETERS RD DETACHED 499,900 4 2.5 2412
72 TOUCHSTONE ST DETACHED 499,900 3 3 3908
1706 MEADOWS DR DETACHED 539,900 3 2 1698
19061 SW INDIAN CREEK AVE DETACHED 544,900 4 3 3070
1920 PARK FOREST AVE DETACHED 575,000 3 3 2679
18183 WESTMINSTER DR DETACHED 720,000 3 2.5 3191
2325 OAKHURST LN DETACHED 799,900 5 2.5 3627
18462 PIONEER CT DETACHED 819,000 5 3 3804
17170 WALL ST DETACHED 835,000 4 3.5 3446
5267 LAKEVIEW BLVD DETACHED 900,000 4 3 3454
1666 LAKE FRONT RD DETACHED 1,279,000 4 3.5 3183
19331 LORNA LN DETACHED 1,335,000 4 3.5 5070
4146 LAKEVIEW BLVD DETACHED 1,380,000 4 3.5 3279
548 RIDGEWAY RD DETACHED 1,560,000 4 3 2830
404 FAIRMOUNT RD DETACHED 1,595,000 4 3 3948
18332 MEADOWLARK LN DETACHED 1,675,000 6 5 6043
980 EVERGREEN RD DETACHED 2,280,000 5 5.5 5644

Pending Sales (August 8th-14th, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedroom Bathrooms DOM
75 GALEN ST CONDO 184,500 2 2 4
58 OSWEGO SMT CONDO 210,000 2 2 24
3932 CARMAN DR CONDO 229,900 2 2 131
2 SW MOUNTAIN CIR ATTACHED 299,000 2 1 32
1223 HEMLOCK ST DETACHED 422,500 2 1 118
18715 INDIAN CREEK DR DETACHED 529,900 3 2 118
4 ESSEX CT DETACHED 549,900 4 2 23
17901 STAFFORD RD DETACHED 599,000 3 2 103
17771 MARYLCREEK DR DETACHED 765,000 4 3.5 17
621 COUNTRY CLUB RD DETACHED 825,000 4 2.5 160
5340 GREYSTOKE DR DETACHED 875,000 3 3 443
18260 RIVER EDGE CT DETACHED 949,000 4 3.5 164
1300 ANDREWS RD DETACHED 1,190,000 5 3 60
862 CEDAR ST DETACHED 1,250,000 4 3.5 170
13060 KNAUS RD DETACHED 1,495,000 4 3.5 48
855 G AVE DETACHED 1,499,000 4 2.5 309
1098 CHANDLER RD DETACHED 1,749,000 4 3.5 432

Sold/Closed (August 8th-14th, 2016)

Address Type List Price Close Price Sqft DOM
47 EAGLE CREST DR #21 CONDO 149,000 138,800 932 767
86 CERVANTES CIR CONDO 158,000 158,000 912 1
3433 MCNARY PKWY CONDO 199,900 208,000 1208 5
750 1ST ST CONDO 279,900 265,000 1350 30
534 2ND CONDO 469,000 469,000 1394 62
528 2ND ST CONDO 489,900 489,900 1703 3
16913 CANAL CIR DETACHED 530,000 530,000 2525 0
30 MORNINGVIEW CIR DETACHED 549,000 543,000 2276 29
16921 KARA LN DETACHED 569,000 556,700 2382 31
171 GREENWOOD RD DETACHED 575,000 585,000 1610 11
300 4th ST ATTACHED 600,000 600,000 1731 0
1002 HEMLOCK ST DETACHED 624,990 617,990 1950 4
41 TOUCHSTONE DETACHED 669,900 653,000 3092 85
3540 UPPER DR DETACHED 659,900 65,500 2716 46
2331 DELLWOOD DR DETACHED 715,000 715,000 2746 4
737 COUNTRY CLUB RD DETACHED 799,900 750,000 3242 72
13366 BOONES FERRY RD DETACHED 875,000 825,000 3564 30
22 GREENWOOD RD DETACHED 850,000 825,000 2701 40
13084 AMBER PL DETACHED 1,199,099 1,150,000 3756 6
1255 CHANDLER RD DETACHED 1,400,000 1,400,000 3212 0
149 FURNACE ST DETACHED 1,688,888 1,600,000 3954 161

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.

Lets talk about Pokémon Go in Lake Oswego!

At the start of this month one of the biggest smart phone crazes took place with a very popular Nintendo franchise: Pokémon. A small company by the name of Niantic took it upon themselves, with the help of Google Maps, to place Pokémon all over the world.
What does this have to do with houses in Lake Oswego?
Well a lot really: we are seeing a huge rise in foot traffic all over the neighborhood as people young and old wander around with their eyes glued to their phone, in search of these illusive little digital critters.
One major question seems to be popping up from a lot of Lake Oswego home owners: Who is doing this? And why are they putting Pokémon in my house or my back yard?
Well to answer this question I had to investigate: I downloaded the app myself and went about on my own quest to peruse catching as many Pokémon as I could in Lake Oswego (some of you probably saw me wandering around. I think the most embarrassing thing that had happened so far is that I walked into a low-hanging branch. Otherwise I’ve been pretty keen to keep an eye on my surroundings).
What I found was that, not only do Pokémon pop up just about anywhere (and randomly) but that there are a lot of little Pokémon landmarks all over our neighborhood. What once was an old piece of art, playground equipment, or even a sign that tells you to clean up after your pooch, have now become checkpoints (like geocaching) and digital combat zones (where you can compete against other players and fight your little monsters).
Another thing I have found is that Pokémon are invisible until you wander close to them. They are not tied to an exact spot, but are within a vicinity of where you are. This means that even if they are standing across the street from you, that you can engage in catching them as though they are directly in front of you.
Niantic, the company that is responsible for making this game, has made it very easy to AVOID wandering into people houses and back yards by giving your little in-game player a radius to work with, rather than expecting you to stand directly on top of were a Pokémon may be. So there really should be no excuse to have to trespass into other people’s yards. If you cannot get a Pokémon to appear from the street, chances are it won’t appear even if you trespass.
Some companies (like the Baja Fresh off of Boones Ferry Rd, or Pine Shed Ribs next to the Plaid Pantry), have had the luck of becoming poke-stops (a location point that acts as an interactive recharging station, where it is both easier to get more goodies and catch more Pokémon) and can often be found setting out lures to draw in attention from Pokémon Go players, and thus gaining a little extra business. Lures are in essence a paid bonus that you can buy from the in-game store to attach to existing poke stops, to draw more Pokemon to a location, making it easier for Pokemon Go players to hang out and catch Pokémon, rather than wander around physically.
All-in-all Pokemon Go is a very interesting, and fun, digital craze that plans to be around for a while. It provides a remarkable incentive to go on daily walks around your neighborhood, as well as goals to walk impressive distances. However, it does not encourage players to trespass! So rest assured Lake Oswego, there should be no excuse for people to wander onto your property without permission, in an effort to catch invisible critters. Though I do suggest this game for all ages!

Pokemon

Market Activity Report July 18th – 24th, 2016

The summer continues to hustle and bustle!
26 new listings, 32 pending, 19 houses sold!
Condos continue to be a very hot item on the market! I recently visited a few up by Touchstone and Eagle Crest. Some where just lovely, but some needed some love. Never-the-less all condos seem to be going quick.

New on the Market (July 18th – 24th, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedrooms Bathrooms Sqft
193 OSWEGO SMT CONDO 235,000 2 2 1383
48 EAGLE CREST DR CONDO 250,000 2 2 1443
4325 SILVER CT CONDO 360,000 3 2.5 1844
6040 LAKEVIEW BLVD DETACHED 459,000 3 2 2390
532 2ND ST CONDO 469,900 2 2.5 1395
16287 BONAIRE AVE DETACHED 495,000 2 1 1430
13991 MAJESTIC CT DETACHED 499,900 3 2.5 1325
6244 FROST LN DETACHED 500,000 4 3.5 2304
668 MCVEY AVE #22 CONDO 500,000 3 1.5 992
4 ESSEX CT DETACHED 549,900 4 2.1 2835
6423 FROST ST DETACHED 569,000 3 2.5 2548
17486 CARDINAL DR DETACHED 575,000 5 3 2327
17 LAUREL ST DETACHED 585,000 3 1.5 3096
14555 SHERBROOK PL DETACHED 598,000 4 2.5 2942
2478 MARYLVIEW CT DETACHED 785,000 4 3 3531
19 MONTICELLO DR DETACHED 819,000 6 3 4866
820 BOCA RATAN DR DETACHED 899,900 4 3.5 2628
1601 PINE ST DETACHED 944,900 4 3.5 3711
13079 AMBER PL DETACHED 998,000 5 3 3200
1130 OAK TER DETACHED 1,049,000 4 3.5 3729
4168 CHAD DR DETACHED 1,049,900 4 3.5 3744
18820 GREENBLUFF DR DETACHED 1,475,000 4 4.5 5570
17515 BLUE HERON RD DETACHED 2,495,000 5 5.5 6314
12850 FIELDING RD DETACHED 2,500,000 9 9.5 19444
16715 PHANTOM BLUFF CT DETACHED 3,988,000 4 4.5 4585
1900 TWIN POINTS RD DETACHED 8,680,000 4 3.5 6776

Pending Sales (July 18th – 24th, 2016)

Address Type Price Bedroom Bathrooms DOM
3433 MCNARY PKWY CONDO 199,900 2 2.5 5
58 OSWEGO SMT CONDO 210,000 2 2 4
343 5th ST CONDO 249,000 2 1 27
1400 BONNIEBRAE DR CONDO 254,000 2 1 41
12824 SW BOONES FERRY RD ATTACHED 298,000 2 2.5 7
16250 PACIFIC HWY #76 CONDO 299,900 3 2 9
12842 BOONES FERRY RD CONDO 324,900 2 2.5 98
300 LAKE BAY CT DETACHED 445,000 2 1 88
2255 GREENTREE RD DETACHED 450,000 4 2.5 14
1160 OAK TER DETACHED 450,000 3 2 7
16041 WALUGA DR DETACHED 454,900 4 2 8
1190 OAK TER DETACHED 460,000 4 2 11
5850 BONITA RD DETACHED 475,000 3 2 143
495000 YARMOUTH CIR DETACHED 495,000 2 2 52
1419 HEMLOCK ST DETACHED 500,000 5 3 28
2370 GLEN HAVEN RD DETACHED 539,900 5 2.5 28
4889 HAMPTON CT DETACHED 543,000 3 2.5 4
17312 CHAPIN WAY DETACHED 559,000 3 2 5
1705 LEE ST DETACHED 699,000 4 3.5 79
17323 LAKE HAVEN DR DETACHED 699,900 3 2.5 4
727 LAUREL ST DETACHED 775,000 3 3.5 84
15468 BOONES WAY ATTACHED 800,000 4 2.5 44
1015 SHER LN DETACHED 850,000 5 3 37
412 8th ST DETACHED 899,000 3 2.5 33
18025 SARAH HILL LN DETACHED 899,900 4 3.5 6
834 6th ST DETACHED 1,099,900 4 2.5 12
1175 CHERRY CIR DETACHED 1,325,000 6 4.5 367
3118 DOUGLAS CIR DETACHED 1,339,000 3 2.5 56
149 FURNACE ST CONDO 1,688,888 3 3.5 161
13600 GOODALL RD DETACHED 2,295,000 6 6.5 44
1455 LAKE FRONT RD DETACHED 2,695,000 4 5.5 1085

Sold/Closed (July 18th – 24th, 2016)

Address Type List Price Close Price Sqft DOM
74 GALEN ST CONDO 159,000 142,464 995 43
44 EAGLE CREST DR CONDO 140,000 152,000 908 4
168800 GALEN ST CONDO 168,800 188,800 923 2
15465 SW TANAGER DR DETACHED 445,000 475,000 1535 2
18906 KRISTI WAY DETACHED 485,000 485,000 1864 2
13449 VERMEER DR DETACHED 495,000 495,000 1877 37
17763 MARDEE AVE DETACHED 519,000 545,000 2300 3
1161 UPPER DEVON LN DETACHED 575,000 574,995 2265 28
4 INDEPENDENCE AVE DETACHED 600,000 605,000 3782 6
5714 CHARLES CIR DETACHED 649,900 625,000 2401 18
8 YORICK ST DETACHED 699,900 686,000 3418 5
13528 TWIN CREEK LN DETACHED 800,000 750,000 3129 52
15964 PARKER RD DETACHED 799,900 785,000 3378 31
2331 PRESTWICK RD DETACHED 825,000 825,000 2613 0
4667 SHEPHERDS LN DETACHED 869,900 869,900 2999 31
348 5th ST DETACHED 875,000 875,000 2019 129
17436 KELOK RD DETACHED 1,050,000 1,050,000 3054 7
16828 ALDER CIR DETACHED 1,550,000 1,550,000 2362 0
2880 UPPER DR DETACHED 1,795,000 1,762,000 5634 76

Criteria: Homes in the 97034 and 97035 zip code, listed, pending or sold between the dates listed above as reported by the Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS). DETACHD refers to Single Family Detached Residence, MFG refers to manufactured housing, and ATTACHD refers to single-family residences with some portion of the structure attached to another property, but not constituting CONDO ownership. DOM stands for days on market, or the number of days from when the listing became active and when it received an acceptable offer, with CDOM standing for “cumulative days on market” accounting for “refreshed” listings.